E.N. Soboleva – Dr. Sc. (Econ.), Professor, Director of Educational Projects and Programs Department,  Fund of infrastructure and educational programs Rosnano (Moscow)

E.N. Gorlacheva – Ph.D. (Econ.), Associate Professor,  Bauman Moscow State Technical University

E-mail: gorlacheva@yandex.ru

N.E. Mikhailov – Student, 

Industrial Logistic Department, Bauman Moscow State Technical University; Trainee, Strategic Development 

and Innovations Department, Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation

E-mail: mikhailovnikolay.ed@gmail.com

Nowadays the relevant management instrument is the shift from the reactive actions to forecasting ones. One of the realizations of this approach is the forecast of economic activities indicators of industrial manufacturing. In Russia the industrial production index is being used now as one of the widespread indicators of the industrial economic activities.

On the base of Box-Jenkins’ model the forecast model will be elaborated in order to determine the tendencies of the industrial development.

The forecast model of industrial production index has been elaborated. 

The offered instrument allows forecasting the possible development trajectories of industrial production index and realizing the forecast function in the industrial enterprises management.

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