N.A. Ryabchikova - Dr.Sc. (Biol.), Senior Research Scientist, Chair of higher nervous activity, Faculty of Biology, Moscow State University by M.V. Lomonosov. E-mail: RNA@protein.bio.msu.ru A.V. Savelyev - Senior Research Scientist, Director of the Patent Agency «©Uniquely honest patenting» (Moscow). E-mail: gmkristo@rambler.ru V.L. Efimova - Deputy General Director, «Prognosis» Ltd. (Moscow). E-mail: prefish@yandex.ru O.I. Efimov - Pediatric Neurologist, General Director, «Prognosis» Ltd. (Moscow). E-mail: prefish@yandex.ru P. Halvorson - Research Department, Pennsylvania College of Osteopathic Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, ITAG, USA. E-mail: pete@trepan.com S.M. Sychev Lecturer, Institute for the rational use of resources and environmental management, RAS (Moscow). E-mail: sergey@sychev.su

Described in the article the developed mathematical description of the predictive of human activities, taking into account some of the psychological and neurophysiological parameters of its functional state, allowed to systematize the results to identify the mechanisms of regulation of purposeful human behavior. The use of a particular biological analogy for the mathematical description enables easy experimentation and accuracy of the description required for systematization of the results. This description makes it possible to highlight some features of the phenomenon under study, for example, features predictive of activity of interest to the experimenter. Thus, the matrix can be called matrix «effectiveness» or «adequacy» of purposeful human behavior. Matrix notation allows to visualize the interaction of multiple probabilistic events of the environment, signals and reactions, as well as to quantify the effectiveness of probabilistic forecasting at different stages of predictive problem solving. This work was supported financially by RFH in grant № 15-03-00519а «Post-non-classic paradigm of artificial intellect».

 

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