F.A. Starkov, E.A. Titenko, S.Y. Sazonov, V.A. Podchukaev

The major task at creation of effective control systems by risks of regions is identification of risks of natural and technogenic nature of operated objects. In the course of identification of risks of natural and technogenic character the assessment of unknown likelihood characteristics risk factors is made. Complication of studied objects of management and conditions in which they function demands development of new methods. For such difficult objects existence of elements of uncertainty is characteristic. Identification of risks of natural and technogenic character by usual statistical methods not always yields good results. In work the minimax approach to a problem of identification of risks of natural and technogenic character is offered. Such approach allows to estimate characteristics of object of management taking into account uncertainty. The considered approach can be generalized on a nonlinear case when risks of natural and technogenic character are described by the known equations in which all variables and parameters are defined similarly.