Yu.L. Koziratsky – Honored Scientist of RF, Dr. Sc. (Eng.), Professor of Department,  MESC «Zhukovsky–Gagarin Air Force Academy» (Voronezh)

E-mail: urleo@bk.ru

M.L. Parinov – Ph. D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, MESC «Zhukovsky–Gagarin Air Force Academy» (Voronezh) E-mail: pml_27_2_8@mail.ru

A.T. Albuzov – Post-graduate Student, MESC «Zhukovsky–Gagarin Air Force Academy» (Voronezh) E-mail: albuzov81@mail.ru

A.V. Ivantsov – Dr. Sc. (Mil.), Associate Professor, MESC «Zhukovsky–Gagarin Air Force Academy» (Voronezh) E-mail: kagan13@yandex.ru

The proposed approach to the construction of a model of conflict, small groups, based on the formation of the full group of States unified conflict system, characterized by a unit change in the estimates of the parties. Developed a probabilistic computer model that allows dynamic changes in estimates of the parties based on simulation methods.

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