350 rub
Journal Nonlinear World №6 for 2016 г.
Article in number:
Prediction of computer virus epidemics based on the method of almost periodic functions
Keywords: computer viruses computer virus epidemic almost-periods scientific and technical forecasting
Authors:
S.A. Lesko - Ph.D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, «Management and Model Operation of Systems» Department of Institute of complex Safety and Express Instrument Making, Moscow Technological University (MIREA). E-mail: sergey@testor.ru A.F.Gadzaov - Ph.D. (Eng.), Associate Professor, «Management and Model Operation of Systems» Department of Institute of complex Safety and Express Instrument Making, Moscow Technological University (MIREA). E-mail: gadzaov_alex@mail.ru D.O. Zhukov - Dr.Sc. (Eng.), Professor, «Management and Model Operation of Systems» Department of Institute of complex Safety and Express Instrument Making, Moscow Technological University (MIREA). E-mail: zhukov@mirea.ru
Abstract:
Methods of the almost-periodic analysis and definition of characteristics of trends solved a problem of prediction for the medium-term period of dynamics of number of computer viruses. It is revealed almost - the period lasting 16 years defining cardinal change of structure of classes of the dominating malicious applica-tions. Emergence of malicious applications of the next generation it is predicted for 2020. At the same time to the same term change of a class of Internet users is predicted.
Pages: 65-70
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