A.I. Kostogryzov - Dr. Sc. (Eng.), Professor, Main Research Scientist, FRC «Computer Science and Control» RAS (Moscow), Honored Scientist of RF P.V. Stepanov - Dr. Sc. (Eng.), Professor, Deputy Director FRC «Computer Science and Control» RAS (Moscow) A.A. Nistratov - Ph. D. (Eng.), Head of Department , Russian Energy Agency (Moscow) L.I. Grigoriev - Dr. Sc. (Eng.), Professor, Head of Department, Gubkin University (Moscow) L.M. Cherviakov - Dr. Sc. (Eng.), Professor, First Pro-rector South-West State University (Kursk)

The practical approach to predict risks for providing information quality in complex systems is offered. This is based on proposed system engineering principles and proved probabilistic models. The working capacity of the offered approach is illustrated on an example of the created complex of maintenance of technogenic safety on distributing objects the oil and gas branch, providing achievement of pragmatical effects with use of methods of analytical predicting of risks. Efficiency of the complex is confirmed by it being used on more than 200 objects of oil and gas industry.

 

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