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Journal Dynamics of Complex Systems - XXI century №2 for 2013 г.
Article in number:
Foundations of the system of the modern intermarket analysis
Keywords:
intermarket analysis
divergence and convergence processes
inflationary and deflationary models
rotation of sectors
Authors:
V.V. Kalmykov
Abstract:
Modern economy gives exclusive examples of intermarket correlations, most of which are stable in time and space. Aforementioned correlations gave growth to the theory of intermarket analysis, widely used in practice.
Present shape of the intermarket analysis is deeply rooted in the idea of diversification of national economic systems into inflationary and deflationary economies, as this realities leaves their imprints on the intermarket analyses.
Intermarket analysis provides practitioners with mechanisms of comparing interrelations between debt and equity capital markets, commodities and currencies, and moreover even between different sectors of economy.
Correlations between sectors and their alternation in time gives more predictability to modern economic growth. Asymmetry which could be found nowadays between existing correlations and theoretical framework only proves fundamental role of intermarket correlations which was slightly adjusted due to the economic crises and recession.
Nevertheless the theory of intermarket analyses could not be scrutinized without researching other theories of macroeconomics and only the system approach to economic analysis could give positive synergetic effect.
Pages: 28-32
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