S.V. Verba1, N.D. Suzansky2, I.V. Merkulov3

1,3 JSC Vega Radio Engineering Corporation (Moscow, Russia)
2 National research center «Institute named after N.E. Zhukovsky» (Moscow, Russia)
1 vvs.msk@gmail.com, 2 sdn_models@mail.ru, 3 mvipost41@mail.com

The task of determining the appearance of a promising sample of an aviation electronic control system is difficult to formalize and quite time-consuming, especially if such a sample is extremely knowledge-intensive. As a rule, modern aviation radio-electronic control systems are the most complex systems that are capable of controlling not only the spatial position of aircraft, but also their resources, as well as information flows in spatially distributed multi-position information and control systems. Such systems are complex multilevel hierarchical multidimensional systems, the functioning of which is based on the use of various physical principles. At the same time, they operate under conditions of a high degree of uncertainty caused by complex laws of target movement, a wide range of heights, ranges and speeds of use, and a large number of disturbances of various kinds, including intentional radio interference, which makes the task of determining the appearance of a promising sample of such systems particularly in demand.

The purpose of the article is to consider the possibility of using foresight technology methods in the task of determining the appearance of a promising sample of an aviation electronic control system.

As an example, the application of the hierarchy analysis method to predict the appearance of a hypothetical sample of an aviation electronic homing system is considered. For this purpose, a four-level hierarchy has been constructed and priority vectors have been calculated for each level of this hierarchy, based on which the significance levels (ranks) of tactical characteristics in the guise of a promising sample of a hypothetical aviation electronic homing system have been obtained.

Verba S.V., Suzansky N.D., Merkulov I.V. Aviation control systems as an object of development. Application of foresight technology. Achievements of modern radioelectronics. 2026. V. 80. № 5. P. 89–99. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18127/j20700784-202605-10 [in Russian]

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