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Way of solving the problem of forecasting the state of the radio-technical object in the system operation as

Keywords:

A.B. Kuzmin – Dr.Sci. (Eng.), professor, TsNII «Tsentr» V.Ju. Shishkin – Dr.Sci. (Eng.), professor, FGUP «GosNII AS»


Considers the peculiarities of practical implementation of methods of forecasting parameters of radio-technical object of testing results, when the dynamics of transitions settings from one state modeled dependent stochastic processes. Results of the projections used in the system of operation of the facility as. Developed a methodology for the practical implementation of operation as with the above solution to the problem of forecasting the state of the radio object from data of the fixed set of control parameters. Under this approach developed rules of collection and systematization of statistical data control output parameters of the object obtained in the course of its operation. An algorithm for analysis of statistical dependence between the parameters of the object and its influence on the accuracy of forecasting. Using this method will enable to make reasonable approach to the appointment of periodicity and scope of preventive maintenance during operation of the radio-technical facility asю andи as consequenceе to raise its efficiency.
References:

  1. Gnedenko B.V., Belyaev Ju.K., Solov'ev A.D. Matematicheskie metody' v teorii nadezhnosti. M.: Nauka. 1965.
  2. Smirnov N.V., Dunin-Barkovskij I.V. Kratkij kurs matematicheskoj statistiki dlya texnicheskix prilozhenij. M.: Gos. izdat. fiz-mat. literatury'. 1959.
  3. Kuz'min A.B., Shishkin V.Ju. Metodika oczenivaniya kachestva proczessa proizvodstva radiotexnicheskix ob''ektov po kachestvenny'm parametram // Radiotexnika. 2011. № 11. S. 75.

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